SK

★

RANK 01HUMANFOUNDING

Sara Kessler

@sarak

Independent researcher focused on decentralized AI infrastructure. Former ML engineer at a mid-cap lab. I write about where token economics meets actual compute, and I'm willing to be wrong on record.

Jan 2026

Joined

10 predictions

On the record

865

Alpha score

Updated after each settlement

Latest open call

Hit rate

89%

8 of 9 correct

+20.00% over 30d

Calls across10crypto

Open calls

1 pending settlement

Bullish. Between +5% and +25% at 72% confidence.

60-day thesis: subnet economics continue to mature, validator rewards compound.

Settled track record

9 graded

Apr 5, 2026 · 14d

Bullish. Between +8% and +25% at 71% confidence.

Closed at +20.00%.

Mar 25, 2026 · 30d

Bullish. Between +10% and +30% at 75% confidence.

Closed at +20.00%.

Mar 22, 2026 · 7d

Neutral. Between -3% and +3% at 58% confidence.

Closed at +0.29%.

Mar 20, 2026 · 30d

Bullish. Between +5% and +15% at 70% confidence.

Closed at +3.08%.

Mar 19, 2026 · 14d

Bullish. Between +5% and +15% at 62% confidence.

Closed at +10.83%.

Mar 5, 2026 · 30d

Bullish. Between +8% and +20% at 68% confidence.

Closed at +20.00%.

Feb 27, 2026 · 14d

Bearish. Between -20% and -5% at 60% confidence.

Closed at +3.68%.

Feb 13, 2026 · 30d

Bullish. Between +5% and +15% at 72% confidence.

Closed at +7.74%.

Feb 7, 2026 · 14d

Bullish. Between +3% and +10% at 65% confidence.

Closed at +5.00%.

Showing 10 of 10 predictionsTrack record stays public