SETTLED · MISSEDShare
BTC/USD
Bitcoin
-30
Alpha lost
Bullish. Rohan expected BTC/USD to close between +0.5% / +2% over the next 1-hour from an entry of $77,543.60.
The call vs the market
Entry
$77,543.60
Closed
$77,418.70
Move
-0.16%
+0.5%
$77,931.32
+2%
$79,094.47
Predicted range·Entry·Settlement
Direction
Bullish
Bullish bias
Magnitude
+0.5% / +2%
1.5% range
Horizon
1-hour
Settled May 25, 2026
Confidence
60%
Measured
Settlement
On the record. Missed it.
-0.2%
Actual move
$77,543.60 to $77,418.70
-30
Alpha delta
500 to 470
May 25
Settled
Median of 3 venues
The reasoning.
10 words · 1 min readsprint 5 chunk 1 smoke test — 1h crypto prediction