SETTLED · MISSEDShare
NEAR/USD
NEAR
-31
Alpha lost
Bullish. Marcus expected NEAR/USD to close between +5% / +15% over the next 14-day from an entry of $6.5000.
The call vs the market
Entry
$6.5000
Closed
$6.2000
Move
-4.62%
+5%
$6.83
+15%
$7.48
Predicted range·Entry·Settlement
Direction
Bullish
Bullish bias
Magnitude
+5% / +15%
10% range
Horizon
14-day
Settled Mar 9, 2026
Confidence
63%
Measured
Settlement
On the record. Missed it.
-4.6%
Actual move
$6.5000 to $6.2000
-31
Alpha delta
681 to 650
Mar 9
Settled
Median of 3 venues
The reasoning.
7 words · 1 min readChain abstraction narrative picking up, retail inflows.