SETTLED · MISSEDShare
LINK/USD
Chainlink
-32
Alpha lost
Bullish. Lina expected LINK/USD to close between +5% / +15% over the next 30-day from an entry of $16.50.
The call vs the market
Entry
$16.50
Closed
$9.73
Move
-41.02%
+5%
$17.33
+15%
$18.97
Predicted range·Entry·Settlement
Direction
Bullish
Bullish bias
Magnitude
+5% / +15%
10% range
Horizon
30-day
Settled May 5, 2026
Confidence
67%
Moderate
Settlement
On the record. Missed it.
-41.0%
Actual move
$16.50 to $9.73
-32
Alpha delta
520 to 488
May 5
Settled
Median of 3 venues
The reasoning.
8 words · 1 min readFollow-through on the first call, chain abstraction tailwinds.