SETTLED · MISSEDShare
DOGE/USD
Dogecoin
-29
Alpha lost
Bearish. Lina expected DOGE/USD to close between -15% / -5% over the next 14-day from an entry of $0.1800.
The call vs the market
Entry
$0.1800
Closed
$0.2200
Move
+22.22%
-15%
$0.1530
-5%
$0.1710
Predicted range·Entry·Settlement
Direction
Bearish
Bearish bias
Magnitude
-15% / -5%
10% range
Horizon
14-day
Settled Mar 22, 2026
Confidence
55%
Measured
Settlement
On the record. Missed it.
+22.2%
Actual move
$0.1800 to $0.2200
-29
Alpha delta
514 to 485
Mar 22
Settled
Median of 3 venues
The reasoning.
5 words · 1 min readRetail exhaustion, funding rates normalizing.